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The Empire Plan is a unique health insurance plan designed especially for public employees in New York State. Empire Plan benefits include inpatient and outpatient hospital coverage, medical/surgical coverage, Centers of Excellence for transplants, infertility and cancer, home care services, equipment and supplies, mental health and substance abuse coverage and prescription drug coverage.

State Seal

ELIOT SPITZER
GOVERNOR

STATE OF NEW YORK
DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL SERVICE
ALBANY, NEW YORK 12239
www.cs.ny.gov

NANCY G. GROENWEGEN
COMMISSIONER

PA07-10

TO: Participating Agency Health Benefit Administrators
FROM: Robert W. DuBois, Director of the Employee Benefits Division
SUBJECT: Empire Plan Quarterly Experience Report
DATE: June 12, 2007

Enclosed are the First Quarter Empire Plan Experience Report for 2007 and the cover letter to the Chief Executive Officers. This report presents the actual 2006 Empire Plan experience, the projected 2007 Empire Plan experience and the projected 2008 premium rates.


June 12, 2007

Dear Chief Executive Officer:

Attached is the Empire Plan First Quarter Experience Report for 2007. This report presents the actual 2006 Empire Plan experience, the projected 2007 Empire Plan experience, based on claims paid through March 31, 2007, and the projected 2008 premium rates.

For the 2006 Plan Year, the Empire Plan carriers declared a 2006 net dividend of $402.0 million or 8.4% of premium. The dividend will be used to offset future premium increases. For the 2007 Plan Year, the Empire Plan carriers project a net dividend of $204.9 million, 3.9% of premium. This report presents the basis for these projections and future reports will include revisions based on additional claims experience.

The projected 2008 premium rates are presented in Exhibit III and reflect a “best-estimated” net premium increase of 12.5%. A range of the potential 2008 premium rate increase is included for your budget development considerations.

I hope this report is informative. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please don’t hesitate to contact me.

Sincerely,

Robert W. DuBois, CEBS
Director
Employee Benefits Division


EMPIRE PLAN EXPERIENCE REPORT

JANUARY - MARCH 2007

Produced for
PARTICIPATING AGENCIES IN THE
NEW YORK STATE
HEALTH INSURANCE PROGRAM
by
the Employee Benefits Division
New York State Department of Civil Service
Nancy G. Groenwegen
President, New York State Civil Service Commission

2006 Empire Plan Experience
Projected 2007 Empire Plan Experience
Projected 2008 Premium Rates

Exhibits

I. 2006 Empire Plan Experience
II. Projected 2007 Empire Plan Experience
III. Projected 2008 PA Premium Rates
IV. Empire Plan PA 5-Tier Group Rates 1999-2008
V. Empire Plan PA 2-Tier Group Rates 1999-2008

NYSHIP News


NEW YORK STATE HEALTH INSURANCE PROGRAM
PARTICIPATING AGENCY GROUP
EMPIRE PLAN EXPERIENCE REPORT
1st QUARTER REPORT

ACTUAL 2006 EMPIRE PLAN EXPERIENCE

The Empire Plan carriers project a composite dividend of $402.0 million (8.4% of premium), or $305.1 million more than the margin loaded in the 2006 rates. The 2006 annual experience is reported in Exhibit I. An additional, $6.4 million in dividend was declared by Cigna which represents favorable 2006 activity pertaining to the prescription drug contract that terminated effective December 31, 2005. The experience under this contract will continue to be updated until we have accounted for all activity related to claims and pharma revenue incurred/earned by the Program.

The 2006 settlement is based on thirteen months of 2006 paid claim data. The following chart presents the percentage of the incurred claims actually paid as well as observed 2006 trend as compared to the trend assumed during the 2006 rate development:

  % of Actual Paid Claims to
Projected Incurred Claims
Projected 2006 Trend
  20052006@ Renewal@ 4th Quarter
Blue Cross 99.2% 93.1% 13.8% 10.6%
United HealthCare 99.8% 95.5% 10.3% 11.8%
GHI 99.8% 91.7% 4.5% 5.5%
Blue Cross Rx 100.0% 97.9% 16.2% 9.4%

The 2006 dividend for each carrier as compared to the margin level used in the 2006 premium development is as follows:

  Margin2006 Projected Dividend/(Loss)Increase/(Decrease)
Blue Cross Hospital $26,222,000 $175,973,000 $149,751,000
United HealthCare $47,285,000 $40,487,000 ($6,798,000)
GHI $2,628,000 $8,013,000 $5,385,000
Blue Cross Rx $20,771,000 $177,488,000 $156,717,000
Total $96,906,000 $401,961,000 $305,055,000

The large increase in the dividend is primarily attributable to the significant reduction in the claim costs from those amounts projected during the development of the 2006 premium rates for the prescription drug and hospital programs. When the 2006 premium rates were developed in October 2005, the amount of the actual 2005 incurred and paid claims through September was approximately 62% of the 2005 projected incurred claim amounts. Approximately 38% of the incremental dividend is attributable to a lower 2005 claim base as compared to the projected 2005 claim base used in the 2006 premium development. Another 38% of the incremental dividend is attributable to lower actual 2006 trends as compared to the projected trends used in the premium development. The balance of the incremental dividend is attributable to a number of components including lower retention charges and an increase in pharma revenue receipts.

UHC’s modest decrease in dividend is attributable to a moderate increase in the 2006 claims base caused by a higher than projected trend, partially offset by a credit for the Basic Medical Discount Program fee charged to the Program. For GHI, the increase in the dividend projection is primarily attributable to the decrease in their projected 2005 claims based coupled with a modest increase in the 2006 trend.

PROJECTED 2007 EMPIRE PLAN EXPERIENCE

The Empire Plan carriers project a composite dividend of $204.9 million (3.9% of premium), or $71.7 million more than the margin loaded in the 2007 rates. The 2007 annual experience projected by the insurance carriers is reported in Exhibit II.

This projection is based on only three months of 2007 paid claim data. The following chart presents the percentage of the projected incurred claims actually paid as well as the current 2007 trend as compared to the trend assumed during the 2007 premium rate development:

  % of Paid Claims to
Projected Incurred Claims
Projected 2007 Trend
  20062007@ Final Renewal@ 1st Quarter
Blue Cross Hospital 96.7% 14.4% 12.9% 13.5%
United HealthCare 98.0% 16.2% 12.6% 12.4%
GHI 97.0% 12.5% 4.0% 7.6%
Blue Cross Rx 98.0% 24.4% 12.0% 11.3%

The 2007 projected dividend for each carrier as compared to the margin level used in the 2007 premium development is as follows:

  Margin2007 Projected Dividend/(Loss)Increase/(Decrease)
Blue Cross Hospital $34,710,000 $53,550,000 $18,840,000
United HealthCare $49,267,000 $68,028,000 $18,761,000
GHI $2,573,000 ($4,265,000) ($6,838,000)
Blue Cross Rx $46,622,000 $87,543,000 $40,921,000
Total $133,172,000 $204,856,000 $71,684,000

The increase in the dividend projection is primarily attributable to the decrease in the 2006 claims base projected during the development of the 2007 rates for the prescription drug, hospital and medical programs coupled with an increase in the projected pharma revenue for the prescription drug program. For GHI, the decrease in their projected 2007 dividend is primarily attributable to the projected increase in claim costs associated with compliance to Timothy’s Law, which became effective on January 1, 2007. This increase in projected claim costs is reflected in the projected 2007 trend.

2008 PROJECTED PREMIUM RATES

Exhibit III presents the projected 2008 Empire Plan gross and net premium rates assuming the application of $300.0 million in dividend to all payors. In aggregate, the Empire Plan gross premium is projected to increase approximately 11.9% while the net premium is projected to increase approximately 12.5%.

A range of the projected gross and net premium rate increase is also included (9.0% - 15.9%). Carrier rate projections made at this time of the year have been historically conservative with the rates ultimately approved and implemented being significantly less than the projections contained in the First Quarter Reports. Each agency should assess its budgetary environment in using the enclosed projections.

Exhibit IV presents the individual and family rate history for the Core Plus Medical and Psychiatric Enhancements option based on the 5-tier Empire Plan billing rate history in effect since January 1, 1999. Exhibit V presents, for illustrative purposes only, the 2-tier rate history from 1999 to 2008.


Exhibit I

2006 EMPIRE PLAN EXPERIENCE
In (000's)

 

BLUE CROSS HOSPITAL

UNITED HEALTHCARE MEDICAL CoreUNITED HEALTHCARE MEDICAL NY EnhancementUNITED HEALTHCARE MEDICAL PA EnhancementUNITED HEALTHCARE MEDICAL CombinedGHI MHSA CoreGHI MHSA NY EnhancementGHI MHSA PA EnhancementGHI MHSA CombinedBLUE CROSS DRUGTOTAL
(A) Premium (1) 1,503,384 1,412,398 187,448 174,553 1,774,399 77,905 10,699 7,696 96,300 1,416,135 4,790,218
(B) Incurred Claims (2) 1,228,814 1,282,780 160,925 144,275 1,587,980 57,946 8,597 6,266 72,809 1,170,859 4,060,462
(C) Administrative Expense (3) 98,597 123,287 11,949 10,696 145,932 12,497 1,733 1,248 15,478 67,788 327,795
(D) Gain/(Loss) (A-B-C) 175,973 6,331 14,574 19,582 40,487 7,462 369 182 8,013 177,488 401,961

(1) Earned Premium - Premium which pays for coverage for the period reported (accrual basis).
(2) Incurred Claims - Represents the cost of covered services provided during the period reported by the insurance company (accrual basis).
(3) Administrative Expenses - All charges by the insurance carrier other than for the payment of claims. Includes carrier’s cost to administer the program, interest charges, and other retention.

Source: Carrier 2006 Annual Statements


Exhibit II

2007 PROJECTED EMPIRE PLAN EXPERIENCE
In (000's)

 

EMPIRE BLUE CROSS

UNITED HEALTHCARE MEDICAL CoreUNITED HEALTHCARE MEDICAL NY EnhancementUNITED HEALTHCARE MEDICAL PA EnhancementUNITED HEALTHCARE MEDICAL CombinedGHI MHSA CoreGHI MHSA NY EnhancementGHI MHSA PA EnhancementGHI MHSA CombinedBLUE CROSS DRUGTOTAL
(A) Premium (1) 1,600,715 1,566,814 240,331 220,553 2,027,698 73,668 10,508 9,150 93,326 1,472,273 5,194,012
(B) Incurred Claims (2) 1,442,147 1,397,775 205,790 196,737 1,800,302 64,750 9,598 6,726 81,074 1,310,812 4,634,335
(C) Administrative Expense (3) 105,018 131,191 14,453 13,724 159,368 13,057 1,872 1,588 16,517 73,918 354,821
(D) Gain/(Loss) (A-B-C) 53,550 37,848 20,088 10,092 68,028 (4,139) (962) 836 (4,265) 87,543 204,856

(1) Earned Premium - Premium which pays for coverage for the period reported (accrual basis).
(2) Incurred Claims - Represents the cost of covered services provided during the period reported by the insurance company (accrual basis).
(3) Administrative Expenses - All charges by the insurance carrier other than for the payment of claims. Includes carrier’s cost to administer the program, interest charges, and other retention.

Source: Carrier 2007 1st Quarter Reports
Includes SEHP


Exhibit III

Empire Plan
Participating Agency Premium Rates
Comparison of 2007 and Projected 2008 Rates

CORE ONLY

Plan Prime

 

Gross Rates (1)
2007

Gross Rates (1)
2008 (3)

Gross Rates (1)
% Change

Net Rates (2)
2007

Net Rates (2)
2008(3)

Net Rates (2)
% Change

Individual Optimistic

527.60 573.12 8.6% 491.95 539.00 9.6%

Individual Best Estimate

527.60 589.27 11.7% 491.95 555.15 12.8%

Individual Pessimistic

527.60 604.87 14.6% 491.95 570.75 16.0%

Family Optimistic

1,116.82 1,213.57 8.7% 1,041.38 1,141.05 9.6%

Family Best Estimate

1,116.82 1,247.59 11.7% 1,041.38 1,175.07 12.8%

Family Pessimistic

1,116.82 1,280.49 14.7% 1,041.38 1,207.97 16.0%

MediPrime

 

Gross Rates (1)
2007

Gross Rates (1)
2008 (3)

Gross Rates (1)
% Change

Net Rates (2)
2007

Net Rates (2)
2008 (3)

Net Rates (2)
% Change

Individual Optimistic

346.35 380.27 9.8% 316.56 349.57 10.4%

Individual Best Estimate

346.35 389.25 12.4% 316.56 358.55 13.3%

Individual Pessimistic

346.35 397.44 14.8% 316.56 366.74 15.9%

Family - 1 Optimistic

935.57 1,020.72 9.1% 866.00 951.61 9.9%

Family - 1 Best Estimate

935.57 1,047.58 12.0% 866.00 978.47 13.0%

Family - 1 Pessimistic

935.57 1,073.04 14.7% 866.00 1,003.93 15.9%

Family - 2 Optimistic

754.33 827.88 9.8% 690.63 762.19 10.4%

Family - 2 Best Estimate

754.33 847.56 12.4% 690.63 781.87 13.2%

Family - 2 Pessimistic

754.33 865.60 14.8% 690.63 799.91 15.8%

(1) Represents premiums charged by the carriers.
(2) Represents cost to a participating agency.
(3) Projected Rates

CORE PLUS MEDICAL & PSYCHIATRIC ENHANCEMENTS

Plan Prime

 

Gross Rates (1)
2007

Gross Rates (1)
2008 (3)

Gross Rates (1)
% Change

Net Rates (2)
2007

Net Rates (2)
2008 (3)

Net Rates (2)
% Change

Individual Optimistic

600.69 649.90 8.2% 564.84 615.48 9.0%

Individual Best Estimate

600.69 670.09 11.6% 564.84 633.03 12.1%

Individual Pessimistic

600.69 689.73 14.8% 564.84 655.31 16.0%

Family Optimistic

1,273.96 1,378.58 8.2% 1,198.07 1,305.39 9.0%

Family Best Estimate

1,273.96 1,421.28 11.6% 1,198.07 1,342.34 12.0%

Family Pessimistic

1,273.96 1,462.86 14.8% 1,198.07 1,389.67 16.0%

MediPrime

 

Gross Rates (1)
2007

Gross Rates (1)
2008 (3)

Gross Rates (1)
% Change

Net Rates (2)
2007

Net Rates (2)
2008 (3)

Net Rates (2)
% Change

Individual Optimistic

363.02 397.82 9.6% 333.18 367.04 10.2%

Individual Best Estimate

363.02 407.73 12.3% 333.18 376.24 12.9%

Individual Pessimistic

363.02 416.84 14.8% 333.18 386.06 15.9%

Family 1 Optimistic

1,036.30 1,126.50 8.7% 966.44 1,056.96 9.4%

Family 1 Best Estimate

1,036.30 1,158.92 11.8% 966.44 1,085.56 12.3%

Family 1 Pessimistic

1,036.30 1,189.95 14.8% 966.44 1,120.56 15.9%

Family 2 Optimistic

798.65 874.43 9.5% 734.81 808.53 10.0%

Family 2 Best Estimate

798.65 896.56 12.3% 734.81 828.77 12.8%

Family 2 Pessimistic

798.65 917.05 14.8% 734.81 851.15 15.8%

(1) Represents premiums charged by the carriers.
(2) Represents cost to a participating agency.
(3) Projected Rates

 


Exhibit IV

EMPIRE PLAN
PA 5 TIER GROUP RATES
1999-2008 Monthly Rates

Core Plus Medical & Psychiatric Enhancements

Individual Planprime

YearGross Rate (1)% ChangeNet Rate (2)% Change
1999 279.56 4.4% 261.18 6.1%
2000 294.94 5.5% 286.53 9.7%
2001 325.23 10.3% 314.26 9.7%
2002 353.81 8.8% 344.66 9.7%
2003 400.00 13.1% 384.89 11.7%
2004 448.00 12.0% 438.15 13.8%
2005 490.41 9.5% 478.49 9.2%
2006 547.86 11.7% 529.76 10.7%
2007 600.69 9.6% 564.84 6.6%
2008 Projected 670.09 11.6% 633.03 12.1%

Average Percent Increase

 Gross Rate % ChangeNet Rate % Change
From Inception of 5 Tier Structure (1996) 9.2% 9.6%
Most Recent 10 Years 9.6% 9.9%
Most Recent 5 Years 10.9% 10.5%

Family Planprime

YearGross Rate (1)% ChangeNet Rate (2)% Change
1999 573.33 3.9% 531.89 5.6%
2000 607.33 5.9% 590.16 11.0%
2001 673.67 10.9% 651.09 10.3%
2002 742.98 10.3% 723.97 11.2%
2003 842.38 13.4% 811.41 12.1%
2004 945.29 12.2% 924.74 14.0%
2005 1,038.64 9.9% 1,013.68 9.6%
2006 1,164.16 12.1% 1,126.19 11.1%
2007 1,273.96 9.4% 1,198.07 6.4%
2008 Projected 1,421.28 11.6% 1,342.34 12.0%

Average Percent Increase

 Gross Rate % ChangeNet Rate % Change
From Inception of 5 Tier Structure (1996) 8.6% 9.0%
Most Recent 10 Years 10.0% 10.3%
Most Recent 5 Years 11.0% 10.6%

Individual Medprime

YearGross Rate (1)% ChangeNet Rate (2)% Change
1999 186.46 11.0% 175.61 16.0%
2000 217.94 16.9% 214.25 22.0%
2001 245.64 12.7% 239.94 12.0%
2002 259.96 5.8% 253.82 5.8%
2003 307.02 18.1% 297.50 17.2%
2004 341.87 11.4% 334.22 12.3%
2005 340.50 -0.4% 331.93 -0.7%
2006 359.35 5.5% 338.88 2.1%
2007 363.02 1.0% 333.18 -1.7%
2008 Projected 407.73 12.3% 376.24 12.9%

Average Percent Increase

 Gross Rate % ChangeNet Rate % Change
From Inception of 5 Tier Structure (1996) 5.7% 6.3%
Most Recent 10 Years 9.4% 9.8%
Most Recent 5 Years 6.0% 5.0%

Family - 1 Medprime

YearGross Rate (1)% ChangeNet Rate (2)% Change
1999 480.95 6.2% 447.05 9.1%
2000 530.97 10.4% 518.52 16.0%
2001 595.25 12.1% 577.95 11.5%
2002 649.14 9.1% 633.13 9.5%
2003 749.40 15.4% 724.05 14.4%
2004 839.18 12.0% 820.82 13.4%
2005 888.71 5.9% 867.09 5.6%
2006 975.66 9.8% 935.32 7.9%
2007 1,036.30

6.2%

966.44 3.3%
2008 Projected 1,158.92 11.8% 1085.56 12.3%

Average Percent Increase

 Gross Rate % ChangeNet Rate % Change
From Inception of 5 Tier Structure (1996) 7.1% 7.5%
Most Recent 10 Years 9.9% 10.3%
Most Recent 5 Years 9.1% 8.5%

Family - 2 or More Medprime

YearGross Rate (1)% ChangeNet Rate (2)% Change
1999 387.05 10.0% 360.66 14.8%
2000 453.22 17.1% 445.51 23.5%
2001 514.40 13.5% 502.37 12.8%
2002 555.29 7.9% 542.29 7.9%
2003 656.42 18.2% 636.67 17.4%
2004 733.05 11.7% 716.88 12.6%
2005 738.79 0.8% 720.53 0.5%
2006 787.16 6.5% 744.45 3.3%
2007 798.65 1.5% 734.81 -1.3%
2008 Projected 896.56 12.3% 828.77 12.8%

Average Percent Increase

 Gross Rate % ChangeNet Rate % Change
From Inception of 5 Tier Structure (1996) 5.6% 6.1%
Most Recent 10 Years 9.9% 10.4%
Most Recent 5 Years 6.5% 5.6%

(1) Represents premiums paid to the carriers.
(2) Represents cost to a participating agency.


Exhibit V

EMPIRE PLAN
PA 2 TIER GROUP RATES
1999-2008 Monthly Rates
(For Illustrative Purposes Only)

Core Plus Medical & Psychiatric Enhancement

Individual

YearGross Rate (1)% ChangeNet Rate (2)% Change
1999 239.24 5.2% 222.00 8.6%
2000 260.67 9.0% 253.98 14.4%
2001 289.41 11.0% 280.25 10.3%
2002 313.58 8.4% 305.67 9.1%
2003 357.44 14.0% 345.36 13.0%
2004 402.70 12.7% 394.31 14.2%
2005 433.70 7.7% 423.31 7.4%
2006 477.33 10.1% 459.25 8.5%
2007 511.23 7.1% 477.96 4.1%
2008 Projected 570.55 11.6% 536.85 12.3%

Average Percent Increase

 Gross Rate % ChangeNet Rate % Change
From Inception (1986) 8.4% 8.3%
Most Recent 10 Years 9.7% 10.2%
Most Recent 5 Years 10.0% 9.3%

Family

YearGross Rate (1)% ChangeNet Rate (2)% Change
1999 539.14 4.8% 499.75 7.8%
2000 578.26 7.3% 563.03 12.7%
2001 640.64 10.8% 619.28 10.0%
2002 703.61 9.8% 685.83 10.7%
2003 805.64 14.5% 778.82 13.6%
2004 899.98 11.7% 881.48 13.2%
2005 968.40 7.6% 945.11 7.2%
2006 1,073.28 10.8% 1,034.40 9.4%
2007 1,158.16 7.9% 1,084.90 4.9%
2008 Projected 1,297.52 12.0% 1,223.14 12.7%

Average Percent Increase

 Gross Rate % ChangeNet Rate % Change
From Inception (1986) 8.8% 8.7%
Most Recent 10 Years 9.7% 10.2%
Most Recent 5 Years 10.0% 9.5%

(1) Represents premiums charged by the carriers.
(2) Represents cost to a participating agency.


NYSHIP News Information for local governments participating in NYSHIP

First Quarter - 2007

Same-Sex Marriages

Effective May 1, 2007, The New York State Department of Civil Service modified its prior policy with regard to recognition of same-sex marriages. Any same-sex marriage that is legal in the jurisdiction where it was performed is recognized for the purposes of providing spousal benefits eligibility in the New York State Health Insurance Program. Please refer to PA Memorandum #07-08 issued on April 27, 2007 for details. Any questions on this policy change may directed to the Public Employer Liaison Unit.

Medicare Part D Employer Subsidy Update

To date, NYSHIP applied for and received estimated Employer Subsidies covering January through November 2006 and, most recently, the first quarter of 2007 (January - March). The Employer Subsidy for December 2006 has not yet been released pending the completion of the 2006 reconciliation by CMS; by including the December subsidy as a part of the final reconciliation the need to recover any subsidy overpayments will be minimized. The Employer Subsidy for January - March 2007 will be credited to the July 2007 bill. We will continue to distribute subsidy payments as soon as possible following receipt from CMS.

GASB 45 Agency Census Report

In addition to the information previously provided to your agency regarding GASB 45 (PA Memorandum #06-11 and PA Memorandum #06-18), NYSHIP will also provide agency census reports upon request. Since the data included in these reports will be current at the time they are provided, it is important that your agency NYBEAS file is up-to-date, including correctly identifying and coding retirees before requesting census reports. To request a copy of your agency’s census information, please send an e-mail to: Melinda.Beyer@cs.state.ny.us and include your name, agency name & code number, mailing address, phone number and e-mail address.

NYSHIP Representation at Municipal Events

During the next quarter, NYSHIP’s Empire Plan will be represented at the following event:

  • The 2007 Annual Conferencesponsored by the NYS Conference of Mayors to be held on June 10-12, 2007, in Saratoga Springs, New York.

If you are planning to attend an event, please stop by the NYSHIP exhibit.

Save the Dates!

The 2007 PA Regional Meeting dates have been scheduled. Please mark your calendars for:

  • Tuesday, October 2nd in Saratoga Springs
  • Wednesday, October 3rd in Rockland County
  • Thursday, October 4th in Long Island

Additional details will be distributed later this summer.

Transmission of Reports Electronically

Many agencies receive the Empire Plan Experience Report via e-mail. If you would like to be added to our distribution list, you may contact us at the address or e-mail below.

CEO & HBA Name and Address Changes

Please be sure to notify EBD of any changes in the names and/or addresses (including e-mail address) of your agency’s CEO or HBA, so that we may keep our mailing lists up-to-date. This updated information should be sent to:

Debbie D’Orazio
Employee Benefits Division
NYS Department of Civil Service
Alfred E. Smith State Office Building
Albany, NY 12239
or E-mail: Deborah.Dorazio@cs.state.ny.us